politics

Thursday Swing State Polls Analysis: FL, VA, WI, IA, NC, NV, CO, National

October 25, 2012 | Posted by Ashish

Obama scored one of his best swing state polling days in weeks today, probably his best since prior to the first debate. We continue to see signs of a post-debate Obama bounce, particularly in today’s state polls. The numbers are below, followed by my analysis.

* VIRGINIA: Obama 51%, Romney 46% — Obama +2% since 1 week ago (Public Policy)
* VIRGINIA: Romney 50%, Obama 48% — Obama +1% since 1 week ago (Rasmussen)
* WISCONSIN: Obama 51%, Romney 45% — Obama +4% since 2 weeks ago (Public Policy)
* IOWA: Obama 50%, Romney 48% — Obama +3% since 1 week ago (Public Policy)
* FLORIDA: Obama 47%, Romney 45% — Romney +1% since 1 week ago (Grove)
* FLORIDA: Romney 50%, Obama 49% — No change since 2 weeks ago (Gravis)
* NORTH CAROLINA: Obama 48%, Romney 48% — Obama +2% since 2 weeks ago (Public Policy)
* NEVADA: — Obama 50%, Romney 47% — Obama +1% since 1 month ago (NBC/WSJ)
* COLORADO: Obama 48%, Romney 48% — Romney +5% since 1 month ago (NBC/WSJ)
* COLORADO: Obama 51%, Romney 47% — Obama +1% since last week (Public Policy)
* COLORADO: Obama 46%, Romney 43% — No change since 1 week ago (Grove)
* COLORADO: Obama 48%, Romney 45% — No previous poll (OnSight)

* NATIONAL: Obama 50%, Romney 45% — Obama +1% since yesterday | Obama +3% since Wednesday (RAND)
* NATIONAL: Obama 47%, Romney 45% — Romney +1% since yesterday | No change since Wednesday (IBD/TIPP)
* NATIONAL: Obama 48%, Romney 47% — No change since yesterday | Obama +2% since Wednesday (Gallup RV)
* NATIONAL: Obama 49%, Romney 48% — Obama +1% since yesterday | Obama +3% since Wednesday(Public Policy)
* NATIONAL: Romney 47%, Obama 46% — No change since yesterday | Romney +2% since Wednesday (Reuters)
* NATIONAL: Romney 49%, Obama 48% — Romney +2% since yesterday | Romney +2% since Wednesday (ABC/Washington Post)
* NATIONAL: Romney 50%, Obama 47% — No change since yesterday | Obama +2% since Wednesday (Gallup LV)
* NATIONAL: Romney 50%, Obama 47% — Obama +1% since yesterday | Obama +1% since Wednesday (Rasmussen)

* OVERALL AVERAGE OBAMA TRACKING POLL BOUNCE SINCE DEBATE: +.875%

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