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411 Box Office Report: Jumanji Spends Third Weekend at #1, 12 Strong & Den of Thieves Start Okay

January 21, 2018 | Posted by Jeremy Thomas
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle The Rock

There’s no stopping Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle at the box office. The film reigned for a third straight weekend at #1, bringing in $20 million to take home the crown once again. The action-comedy sequel was off just 29% to bring its domestic total to a stellar $317 million. To call the the film a blockbuster hit would be an understatement; at this point the movie has a total of $767.8 million worldwide. That makes it the #11 film of 2017 at the worldwide box office.

Jumanji is also the #2 movie of The Rock’s career domestically, behind only Furious 7, and #4 for him worldwide behind the last three Fast & Furious films. From where it’s standing now, it looks likely to become his biggest hit in the States. Furious 7 capped out at $353 million, and it’s hard to imagine that Welcome to the Jungle will far hard enough in its remaining weeks before surpassing that number. Right now a $360 million total seems to be likely for the film, which is an enormous hit on a budget of $90 million.

Welcome to the Jungle’s grip on #1 left the two big newcomers fighting for #2, especially since they both targeted the adult male demographic. First up is 12 Strong, which roped in $16.5 million. That’s right around where most predicted it to do, and a solid start for the film. The Chris Hemsworth-led movie about the first Special Forces team deployed to Afghanistan after 9/11 wasn’t a big hit with critics, who rated it at 53% on Rotten Tomatoes. But audiences dug it with an A CinemaScore, which should turn out well for the movie.

International market numbers won’t start rolling in until next week, but with a $30 million budget it should be in okay shape. Right now it seems likely to get at least $55 million domestically, with international numbers making up the rest of the cost.

Den of Thieves opened just behind 12 Strong with $15.3 million. The crime thriller stars Gerard Butler, 50 Cent and O’Shea Jackson and despite aiming for the same audience as 12 Strong, it held up well. That’s especially the case considering that critics disliked it at a 42% RT score. That said, it is doing better with audiences than most of Butler’s recent films. A B+ CinemaScore tops those of Geostorm and Gods of Egypt (both earned a B-).

Den of Thieves is likely to have a slightly smaller multiple than 12 Strong due to the slightly less enthusiastic word of mouth, and on the same $30 million budget that might seem like a problem. But the film will probably play a bit better overseas. Thieves will likely top out at $45 million or so in the US and will rely on the overseas grosses for any potential profit margin.

Steven Spielberg’s The Post was down two spots to #4 in its second weekend of wide release, off an okay 37% with $12.2 million. The Tom Hanks-Meryl Streep drama now sits at $45.2 million domestically and $55.1 million worldwide. This is a film that is benefitting from good word of mouth, as well as its prominence during award season. It should make its way to around $75 million in the US and will probably bring in a profit on a $50 million budget.

The Greatest Showman continued its fantastic run, down a mere 12% to $11 million in its fifth weekend. The musical drama now sits at $113.5 million domestically and $231.5 million worldwide, putting it right on the brink of profit on an $84 million budget (plus marketing, of course). The Hugh Jackman film should make it to at least $145 million domestically and has to be making Fox happy at this point.

Paddington 2 started off slight last weekend, but held on nicely with a drop of just 25% in its second frame. The critically-loved family film brought in $8.2 million and now sits at $25 million domestically and $172.2 million worldwide. Warner Bros. only gets money off the domestic gross because foreign sales were sold to other distribution companies, which means even with good holds and a $50 million domestic take it probably won’t make the studio money.

The Commuter was off 51% in its second weekend to $6.7 million. The Liam Neeson vehicle (no pun intended) pushed its totals to $25.7 million domestically and $36.4 million worldwide on a $30 million budget. Obviously this movie will have to get more foreign grosses to be a hit but it shouldn’t lose Lionsgate too much at the very least.

Star Wars: The Last Jedi brought in $6.6 million, down 45% from last weekend. The Saga film is up to $604.3 million domestically and $1.296 billion worldwide. That makes it the #9 film all-time in worldwide grosses, and the #6 domestic grosser. It should finish with around $620 million domestically, a mega-hit on a $$200 million budget.

Insidious: The Last Key slipped again in weekend three, down 52% to $5.9 million. Don’t feel too bad, though; the horror movie is at $58.7 million domestically and $126.8 million worldwide. It will finish at around $75 million domestically and is a hit for Universal on a small $10 million budget.

Roadside Attractions’ Forever My Girl took the last spot in the top ten with $4.7 million. The romantic drama had a more limited release at just 1,115 theaters, and while critics hated it (12% on RT) Roadside is happy with the number. With a budget of $3.5 million and targeted advertising, it will be a profit with a likely $20 million domestic final.

Next weekend should finally see a new #1 as Maze Runner: The Death Cure aims for around the low to mid-twenties. Hostiles, which stars Christian Bale, should get a modest but okay $10 million to $15 million.

BOX OFFICE TOP TEN (Three-Day Domestic Numbers)
1. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle – $20 million ($317 million total)
2. 12 Strong – $16.5 million ($16.5 million total)
3. Den of Thieves – $15.3 million ($15.3 million total)
4. The Post – $12.2 million ($55.1 million total)
5. The Greatest Showman – $14.5 million ($97.3 million total)
6. Paddington 2 – $8.2 million ($25 million total)
7. The Commuter – $6.7 million ($25.7 million total)
8. Star Wars: The Last Jedi – $14.7 million ($604.3 million total)
9. Insidious: The Last Key – $5.9 million ($58.7 million total)
10. Forever My Girl – $4.7 million ($4.7 million total)